The Lebanon–Israel escalation cannot be understood without confronting the scale of Israeli violations of the ceasefire. Reports indicate that Israeli forces have carried out over 10,000 documented air and land violations, eroding trust in international guarantees and raising urgent questions about accountability.
Against this backdrop, the logic of Hezbollah’s disarmament appears increasingly untenable when violations continue unchecked, as disarmament would leave Lebanon exposed to repeated incursions and attacks.
The situation grew even more volatile yesterday, when Israel struck Beirut and killed Hezbollah’s chief of staff, Haytham Ali Tabatabai, a figure considered second only to the group’s secretary-general.
In this spotlight, we will examine whether Israeli violations represent a breakdown of international commitments, how they shape the security calculus of Lebanese actors, and whether guarantors of the ceasefire can still be trusted to enforce peace.