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Italy’s birth rate collapse 'irreversible'

Population expert Alessandro Rosina on Friday called the country’s birth rate decline “irreversible” as more than 358 regions experienced no births in 2023.

Population expert Alessandro Rosina has called the country’s birth rate decline “irreversible” as more than 358 regions experienced no births in 2023.

Rosina, an expert in demographics at the Catholic University of Milan, on Friday warned that the country’s population decline is leading to more services being cut across the country.

In an interview with the La Repubblica newspaper, Rosina warned that Italy’s birth rate decline has been at a critical level for at least a decade, saying, “In 2014, the country entered a new phase of inexorable population decline”.

In 2023, the country’s birth rate reached an all-time low of 1.2, one of the lowest in the EU.

Italy’s birth rates first went below the replacement threshold of 2.1 back in 1977. The replacement threshold is the birth rate required for a country to maintain its current population.

Experts warn that low birth rates will lead to population ageing, which will in turn lead to higher social security costs while government income decreases due to the declining working-age population.

Nationalist groups also fear that the continuing decline in birth rates might lead to national extinction.

The fall in birth rates among Western nations has been blamed on various factors such as declining religiosity, as well as the widespread adoption of feminist and liberal lifestyles.

Italy’s birth rate saw its sharpest collapse after the second-wave feminist movement of the 1970s.


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